miércoles, 16 de julio de 2014

The risk to be the losers of the #digital revolution

One of the focuses of my personal observatory on digital issues are the surveys and statistical reports about the topic from public and private organisations. In particular, I like to read the international reports in order to compare the performance of country and regions in different issues. The more number of nations covered by the report, the more valuable are the conclusions of it. Nevertheless, an isolated report is valueless in comparison with the combination of a number of interconected reports. An example of the value of this kind of combination is the case of a group of three reports that appeared some weeks ago: 

  • Global flows in the Digital Age, a report from McKinsey Global Institute that aims to identify the connectedness of nations in relation with five different kind of flows: Goods, Services, People, Finance and Data & Communications.
  • European ICT Poles of Excellence, a report from the European Commission (EC) that aims to identify the EU regions that have jointly some kind of excellency in ICT R&D and  innovation  and the ability to take this knowledge to market
  • Global Information Technology Report, a yearly report from the World Economic Forum (WEF) which provides a comprehensive assessment of networked readiness, or how prepared an economy is to apply the benefits of information and communications technology (ICT) to promote economic growth and well-being.

The first report provides us with the picture of the trade flows over the world. Among the top 20 there are only three emerging countries, the rest are developed countries. If we take only the EU countries we will discover the importance of the role that digital technologies play to shape these flows. There is a clear correlation of the post that a EU country achieves in the McKinsey ranking and the number of ICT Poles of Excellence presented in the EC report. What is more, there is also a correlation of the number of inhabitants that live in an ICT Pole of Excellence and the post of the country in the MacKinsey ranking. Therefore, the combination of these two reports is a proof of the importance of a ICT to promote growth and well-being, because it is obvious that both depend on the connection to the global flows .

The conclusion obtained from the combination of the first and second reports should raise concerns in some developed countries. According with this conclusion, the WEF report could be taken as a forecast of their future post in an eventual future ranking of global flows, a certainly gloomy forecast for some countries. Therefore, the WEF report may be an accurate forecast of the currently developed countries that are going to be the losers of the digital revolution.

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario

palyginti kainas